Let’s go back to Saturday, Gameweek 12, the morning fixtures are in full swing and Callum Wilson has just netted his hat trick in the 84th minute of his first game back from injury. Two minutes earlier, Tammy Abraham goes down with a back injury and is substituted, his immediate playing status is in doubt. During the Man City match I knee jerk Wilson in for Abraham, knowing I will get the £0.1 increase and a healthy starter, with potential, ahead of the holiday period.
Sitting here on the eve of Gameweek 13, that “delicious” transfer is now tasting foul, as I am holding one FT ahead of the Friday kickoff, West Ham hosting Leicester City. In hindsight, I should have held both FTs and waited for further word on Abraham. Saying that, Wilson does fit into my plans, the concern being how much playing time will the Bournemouth forward get in the next week with 3 fixtures; swa/BUR/SOU.
Plans for the upcoming holiday period have been a continually upheaval since heading into the international break after Gameweek 11. While I am blessed to be sporting 5 green arrows over the last 6 weeks, I am not pleased with the play of my Spurs assets, Harry Kane (£12.8) and Christian Eriksen (£9.5). They are bring held and started out of fear for their potential, not the returns over the last 3 weeks, which has equated to only 10 points! Total!
Moving forward after the Thanksgiving period sees massive change. Irregardless of the Spurs outcome on Saturday, chances are good Kane and Eriksen will give way. My strategy was detailed yesterday in the article, Holiday Planning, which features a shift in thinking, moving away from my 5-2-3, featuring big wing backs and 3 big forwards to 4-5-1 (or 3-5-2), featuring 4 premium midfielders and a lone premium forward. Risky? Sure, but it also offers high reward, if successful.
However, for Gameweek 12, I am going to roll the FT to next week and start a 4-4-3 this weekend before pulling the linchpin to my holiday plans. Details will be posted on Friday of my starting XI for both the traditional and draft FPL squads.
Looking at options this week I have selected a single player at each position, if you are in dire need and are looking to bring about change.
Priced at £4.5, Bournemouth’s Asmir Begovic (4.2 TSB%) appears to be leading the Cherries, as they have posted two clean sheets in their last two games. He posted save points and bonus points, scoring 9 and 8 points respectively.
Bournemouth, currently 13th in the standings are riding back to back wins and with swa/BUR/SOU/cry upcoming, now is the time to invest in the Cherries keeper. Over the last 4 games, he’s conceded just twice, totally 14 saves, third best over that period behind Joe Hart and Nick Pope. Of those saves, he’s caught 6 of them and posted a 86.7% save percentage.
Returning from an extended injury (calf), Man City’s Vincent Kompany (2.1 TSB%) could be a great differential, as an alternative to the higher owned Nicolás Otamendi.
Last week, he posted his first CS return (5 points) since opening day. Now on 3 yellow cards, fantasy managers must be wary of him. The other concern, his healthy. If Kompany can remain healthy, he offers a great value for £5.8 in a staunch City defense that’s kept 6 clean sheets on the season. He’s got great potential for attacking returns on corner kicks and set pieces.
Honorable mention: Scott Dann (£4.7, 0.6 TSB%) and Harry Maguire (£5.1, 7.7 TSB%).
Priced at £8.0, Anthony Martial offers a great differential for Man United ahead of the busy holiday period. Owned by just 2.6 TSB%, he’s returned 5 goals in 11 games in just 371 minutes.
Mourinho has limited his minutes on the season, but with 2 goals in his last 3 games he’s got a great chance to post attacking returns. United is home to Brighton, followed by an away fixture at Watford and Arsenal. Martial started the midweek fixture away to Basel and Gameweek 12 home to Newcastle. There’s a good chance he will feature with 3 games over the next 7 days. His statistics aren’t too impressive over the last four when compared to the likes of Richarlison, Zaha or Choupo-Moting.
Honorable mention: Riyad Mahrez (£8.4, 4.7 TSB%), Fernandinho (£5.2, 8.0 TSB%), Andrew Surman (£4.7, 7.9 TSB%)
On the back of his hat trick against Huddersfield, it’s no surprise Callum Wilson is top on the transfer list. Knee jerk reaction to just his only game of the season? Possibly. Potential is there, scored 6 last season before going down with a cruciate ligament rupture, but had posted 5 goals in 7 games to open the 2015/16 season, before his first cruciate ligament rupture.
Hard to say just what he will produce, but the fixtures are kind over the next 4 for the Cherries; swa/BUR/SOU/cry. With Oumar Niasse (£5.0m, 5.4 TSB%) suspended and Tammy Abraham (£6.0, 16.1 TSB%) injured, he does offer attacking potential on par with Glenn Murray at Brighton, who’s fixtures are mixed.
Honorable mention: Andre Gray (£6.3, 1.5 TSB%)
Now is the time to start planning, as games are going to come very fast. A bit of advanced planning to get a full squad of starting players is essential. Good luck over the holiday period.