PITCH & PINT – EPISODE 15: Missed Opportunities
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Episode 15 of Pitch & Pint Podcast being recorded Tuesday, November 6, Missed Opportunities
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Hello and welcome to episode 15 of the Pitch & Pint Podcast. My name is Stephen, you can find me @6thGoal on Twitter. It was a week in which one decision was the difference between a red and green arrow. More on that later.
Let’s look back on Watford and their trip up north, Tyneside and Newcastle United. This was a game, by all accounts the Hornets should have won. Dropping three points to the Magpies was disappointing, especially seeing the effort the lads put in on the pitch.
Newcastle wasn’t better than Watford on the day, but a glancing header from a set piece by Ayoze Perez at the top of the 6-yard box was enough to give them a 1-0 in the 65th minute.
Watford had plenty of time to mount a comeback. More importantly they saw MANY chances go begging in the first half of the game.
It was a game in which Jose Holebas returned to the starting XI, but would have been better if it were Adam Masina, as Holebas was poor on the day. From his set piece deliveries to his discipline. It was a bad day at the office for Jose.
He also picked up his 6th yellow card in 9 matches. That’s the Jose we don’t need in our starting XI. He’s a player out of form, as he was talked about highly with the likes of Mendy and Alonso on the back of 4 assists in the first 4 weeks.
Since game week 4, NADA! That means nothing. Which is what Holebas is right now in FPL, a big, fat nothing. At 4.8, there are better options elsewhere than the backline for Watford.
Our offense was shit! There was no final product. Remember to be successful in the Premier League you must SCORE GOALS! Watford created 16 attempts on goal, with 14 shots inside the box, resulting in 5 big chances. Roberto Peyera hit the woodwork once, as the Hornets generated a chance every 6 minutes.
However, for game week 11, they had just 1 shot on target. One! It was 90 minutes of frustration watching all the chances go begging. Gerard Deulofeu, looked excellent, but missed two big chances. Adrian Mariappa missed a coupled. Stefan Okaka, what the fuck is he doing on the pitch is beyond me.
After the game, Javi Gracia was just as frustrated saying, “If you do not score and kill the game when you have the chance to do something like today can happen. “If you ask me about the game or the result, I can be disappointed today with the result because I think we have done many things well, but I can’t be disappointed with the way my team played.”
Defensively, Watford wasn’t tested…again. Third week in a row. Ben Foster was called upon twice, as that was all the offense Newcastle could muster. The goal wasn’t anyone’s fault, it was a great take by Ki Jung-yueng and their out of favor forward just happened to get enough on the ball to get it on goal. Foster was left standing still.
No blame on the defense. Yet the Golden Boys NEED to find more consistency up top. I am still banking on Deulofeu, as he’s been limited in his minutes, picking up at least 65 the last 3 matches. Not sure he’s all that happy with it, but it’s seems to be spot on.
It appears Troy Deeney won’t be ready this week, which means it It could be Andre Gray or Issac Success to partner with Deulofeu. I am backing Gray to get the call. Not that Success was bad last week, but he too missed chances
One thing do know ahead of So’ton, Etienne Capoue won’t be available, as he is suspended due to yellow card accumulation, which should give Nathaniel Chalobah a start in the midfield with Abdoulaye Doucoure.
Enough of the Watford discussion, you find read more of my thoughts at 6thgoal.com or planetfpl.com
It’s tough to gauge just how I feel after game week 11, which ended early for me Sunday morning, as I turned off the TV after Danny Ings converted against City. My weekend was shot, decided I might as well take out my frustration on Dead Island and kill zombies.
I’ve got a variety of players to look back on and glace ahead as some fixtures are changing for a few clubs.
Before I get too deep into the FPL talk, let’s check out our Gameweek 12 Beer of the Week.
(4:19) GAMEWEEK 12 BEER OF THE WEEK
This week I look in on a beer company available in over 40 countries, 10% of which are sold in Denmark. Home to FPL great, Christian Eriksen.
I am speaking of Mikkeller, a microbrewery founded in 2006 in Copenhagen, Denmark that is based on the so-called “gypsy” ethos; the company does not operate an official brewery, instead, collaborates with other brewers to produce their recipes or experimental one-off brews.
The brewery was founded by two home brewers: Mikkel Borg Bjergsø, a high school teacher, and journalist Kristian Klarup Keller. Both sought to introduce their home-brewed beer to the public and to “challenge beer friends with intense new tastes”, drawing inspiration from the American breweries exploring the boundaries for modern beer brewing. Expect super fresh, hoppy beers as well as classic European styles.
I’ve had 6 different beers from Mikkeller San Diego, as well visiting their first international bar, which opened in July 2013 in San Francisco. Mikkeller Bar is a great place located right downtown, SF that has has no less than 40 beers on tap! It runs the gamut from local beers such as Faction, Fieldwork and Henhouse, to Mikeller favorites as well as saisons, wild ales, sours and cask conditioned beers.
Bjergsø loves to compete and hates to fall short. When an early coffee stout disappointed him, Bjergsø sent an email to the brewery behind one of his favorite beers, AleSmith’s Speedway Stout.
When Peter Zien, AleSmith’s owner, shared some tips, a friendship and a best-selling beer were born. “That became Beer Geek Breakfast,” Bjergsø said, “probably my most famous beer.”
While I haven’t had Beer Geek Breakfast, I review the next best thing, Beer Geek Dessert and 11% American Imperial Stout.
Let’s pop the top on this 12 ounce car.
Dessert Beer Geek pours a thick motor oil black with a half of finger of khaki tan head that dissipates, rimming the glass with no lacing retention.
The aroma is nice on the nose, with a sweet cocoa, fudge, warm chocolate syrup and hint of vanilla frosting.
The taste is dominated by the cocoa but does drink very sweet.
It’s got a smoothness on the palette, as the vanilla sneaks in, as does the heat of the alcohol as it goes down.
Overall, it’s a worth a try, big and one of the sweeter stouts I have tasted.
This would be a big favorite among my stout loving hastag FPL Beer Club friends, as many of them love a big, dark and sweet stout.
Now let’s get back into some FPL.
(6:46) FPL OPINIONS
Where the hell should we start? May as well look at Callum Wilson, had a NTI of 295k ahead of the week and the inform forward returned a goal and 7 points against a very average Man United defense.
I’ll admit it, I was pessimistic Wilson would keep up this current form, but he’s returned 3 goals in the last 2 games and they travel to Tyneside this week. See him doing great things against Newcastle, who wasn’t good against Watford this past week.
I’ve also been negative against Ryan Fraser but got to watch him closer against United and he was quick impressive. More so than the preconceived notions I had of this midfielder. He was heavily involved in the Cherries going forward and appears to be threat whenever he got the ball.
While I had intentions of moving Weeman out, it does look as if I will continue to back the Scot for some time. However, with that being said IF the decision is made to drop either him or Wilson, then Fraser will lose out.
I do like Bournemouth’s chances in three of their next 4 games, with City being the only tough fixture. We all know Arsenal is shit on defense and I could see the Cherries playing them tough at home.
Anthony Martial, against Bournemouth returned for his 4th game in a row, totaling 48 points from 5 goals and an assist. The problem I have. The longer FPL managers wait, the more it will feel like chasing points.
Not sure how high I put Martial at this moment, I feel it’s another curious case of Lucas Moura. Martial returning just enough to get owners interested and then he will disappear from the pitch with attacking returns coming to an end.
That said, the Frenchman has been very clinic the past few week and after the derby, United’s fixtures are nice through March! I could honestly see buying into a United asset. Will it be Martial? The price is right, will his returns continue?
I may as well get Richarlison out of the way. While I love the fact, Watford got a shitload of money on his move to Everton, I am no longer a fan. I won’t deny the kid has skills, as witnessed by his brace last week.
I don’t believe he’s a forward, as Silva is currently playing him. That said, it seems to have worked for 2 games, playing him up top in place of Cent Tosun with Bernard down the left flank. Can’t say he has been all that impressive since gaining a starting job.
Maybe I am looking for more reasons not to back him and letting emotions get the best of me because of his desire to leave Watford. I want to see him fail, I know that’s wrong especially when it comes to fielding the BEST starting XI. Based on the numbers, he’s one of the most highly owned midfielders in the top 1000 (52.5%) and across FPL (24%)
So, it would appear I am making a mistake by not owning the Brazilian. At this point, I have no plans for ANY Everton players, after Richarlison hung me out to dry with a red card when I brought him in GW3 on my wild card and Walcott provided just a single assist over 7 weeks.
I will continue to watch Glyfi Sigurdsson at 7.5 he’s 0.7 more expensive, but on PKs and set pieces. Guess it’s up to FPL managers to decide if he is worth that extra budget. Sigurddson is more consistent, as Richarlison has been spotted on the side of a milk carton earlier in the year, missing.
Realistically, I don’t favor Everton until GW19, their fixtures are tough but do face Cardiff, Watford and Newcastle all at Goodison Park.
Not sure what to take from West Ham, the fact they conceded 2 goals to a poor attacking club in Burnley or that they scored 4. One thing I am pretty sure about, the Hammers defensive assets might not be as impressive as the schedule they have through game week 21.
If they are giving up goals to the likes of Burnley, who’d scored just 10 before that match up, there is still improvement to be found before we can rely on their defense to provide consistent defensive returns.
The next 3 of 4 games COULD and I emphasis COULD be clean sheets, as they are away to a resurgent Huddersfield, away to Newcastle and home to Cardiff. Oh yeah and they host Man City in game week 13.
Currently, I own Marko Arnautovic and don’t plan on adding any further assets currently unless I need to free up budget by swapping to a 4.5 goalkeeper. Lukasz Fabianski is on a short list.
Against Burnley it was Felipe Anderson with a brace, his third attacking return in 11 games. At 6.8 an argument can be made he’s too expensive, especially with Arnautovic just 0.3 more.
Depending on where you fall with your captain selections, Arnautovic could make a strong case to wear the armband in 3 of the next 4 fixtures.
FPL King of The King Fantasy Podcast gave him the armband to the tune of 24 points against Burnley. Nice punt, nice return.
One play that Suj of Planet FPL spoke of a few weeks back, Grady Diangana, who’s played 50, 74 and 85 minutes in the last 3 games has looked very impressive. At 4.5 he could be another 4.5 starting midfielder with potential of attacking returns. He picked up his first assist on the season last weekend from the right flank. He’s a player to keep an eye on, that could have won a starting spot and provide some returns at a budget price.
A moment on Man City and their 6-1 ass kicking of So’ton. Three goals in 18 minutes was all they needed. I quit watching when Ederson gave away a bad PK to Danny Ings. That was the end of my FPL, conceding to a poor Saints team was a loss of 12 points, as I have the defensive double with Mendy.
Still there are many points to be made from the Sky Blues at both ends of the pitch. This week it was offensive, as Raheem Sterling showed up after 4 weeks with just a single assist providing 21 points from 2 goals and 2 assists. At 11.1, he’s been brought in by just over 10k this week, as his price is a bit prohibitive.
Dropping Aguero to a budget forward, someone like Raul Jimenez could free up budget to upgrade a midfielder to Sterling. On the season, Sterling has missed just 2 games but picked up at least 73 minutes in every game started, seeing 5 games through the full 90 minutes.
He’s currently averaging 8.6 PPG, leading all players and just 7.7% owned with 6 goals and 5 assists on the season. He’s returned attacking points in 7 of 9 games he’s played. Might be the way to go if Aguero continues to be hooked at 60 mintues.
Aguero played his best game since game week 2 when he hit for a hat trick, picking up 13 points on a goal and 2 assists. He’s 0.2 more than his teammate but his ownership exceeds 52% across all of FPL and an amazing 84% in the top 1000.
This is why many FPL managers continue to stick with Aguero. Ownership. Case in point, I’d alternated captains this year between Salah and Aguero at home all season but made the decision to stick with Salah away this week. Got burnt.
If I would have given the armband to Aguero that small red arrow would have been a bigger green arrow. I can’t see moving off Aguero as long as he is fit and getting 60 minutes.
Over the last 2 weeks Hazard has lost nearly 400k managers, scratched from the starting XI in game week 10 and only picking up 26 minutes last week, managers had little patience to hold the superstar that was being praised a few weeks earlier with 24 points over 2 weeks.
Now managers can’t move him fast enough. The same goes for previous darlings James Maddison and Alexsandr Mitrovic.
Boy, it’s not like I called this earlier in the season. Neither player have lived up to their early season hype. The honeymoon is over with both players. Over the last 7 weeks Mitro has just 1 goal and 1 assist on a bad Fulham team that got shut out against another bottom dweller this week in Huddersfield, 1-0. That was the last straw for many managers, as over 160k have moved him out.
Maddison is another bandwagon that has lost momentum, as over 65k managers are looking elsewhere for a replacement, many landing on Richarlison. In the last 5 games, just a single assist. He’s been terms the new Dusan Tadic of the FPL. Great stats but can’t get the attacking returns.
While I am on movers headed out. Where are all the Ross Barkley owners? Guess he’s not the budget savior at 5.9 you all thought he was. Even with Hazard struggling due to a back injury.
No return against Palace and suddenly he’s dropped over 21k owners. Another player FPL managers were chasing points from.
Again, I go back to having patience with your FPL team and not knee jerking players weekly in search of points or those players who excelled for a few weeks. Maybe Walcott or Moura could fall under the guise of “chasing points” I am sure I could rationalize a reason why I brought that pair into my team
We each have our own playing style and strategy in how we approach the fantasy game. For me, this year has been different than the previous 5 years.
While it would have been a bit more beneficial to get out of the blocks faster with a few more game week 1 players remaining in my squad, currently 6 out of 15 are still with me, including Mendy, Robertson, Salah, Arnautovic, Wan-Bissaka and Boruc.
More importantly, maybe this speaks volumes about my wild card, as I have retained 10 players from the activation ahead of game week 3. More on my squad later.
Let’s break from the FPL for some beer news, this week I look at a style that is well left of where I come down when it comes to beer. Today, I’m talking sours.
(15:58) BEER NEWS – STYLE: SOUR BEER
I’ve heard that good sours are hard to find, but when you find one you will never let it go. Beer is interest, as the combination of ingredients cane give you different layers of flavor.
I’ve tasted exactly one beer that would fall under the category of sour and you know what. I loved it! Now that’s not to say I will love every sour. This was given to me as a can share, the beer was from Fieldwork Brewing Company out of Berkeley called Raspberry Parfait.
Sour beer is the oldest type of beer in history. Nearly all beer used to be at least somewhat sour before pasteurization and sterilization was understood. Sours today are tart-tasting, and made with wild bacteria and yeasts, whereas more familiar beers are made in sterile environments with specific yeast strains.
But wild organisms are what make sour beers so enticing. Sours come in a wide range of styles and can run the gamut from mouth-puckeringly sour to barnyard funky to fruity and light. Some of the most famous sours come from Belgium, where they’re often aged in oak barrels that let the beer breathe and let microorganisms build communities.
Bacteria gives sour beers their distinctive taste, while yeast adds the funky and earthy quality. Today’s sours are primarily influenced by two types of bacteria and one type of wild yeast.
The first is lactobacillus, a bacterium that turns sugars into lactic acid. It’s the same acid that makes yogurt taste slightly sour (and that makes your muscles sour after exercising).
The second is pediococcus, a bacterium in the same family of lactobacillus that’s often used in Belgian beers to add acidity. Pediococcus can metabolize without oxygen, and the acidity will increase the longer it’s in a beer. Over time, pediococcus can also create diacetyl, a compound that has a buttery taste.
The wild yeast in sours is known as Brettanomyces, also known as “Brett.” Unlike Saccharomyces cere-vi-si-ae (which makes ales) and Saccharomyces pastori-anus (which makes lagers), Brettanomyces has a reputation as a beer ruiner. At its worst, Brett can add poopy and Band-Aid flavors and aromas, but at its best it can make add a balancing layer of earthiness to a beer.
While there is no one type of sour, here are some style:
- American Wild Ale
- Berliner Weisse
While I tend to stick with beer I know and enjoy drinking, the Raspberry Parfait was a break from “the usual” that resulted in something special. You can watch the 30 Second Beer Review at 6thgoal.com, listed under hastag FPL Beer Club.
If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to ask. You can find most of my beer related material on 6thgoal.com under FPL Beer Club.
Now back to FPL.
(18:42) FPL OPINIONS (continued)
At 5.7 Raul Jimenez has scored 3 goals and provided 4 assists for Wolves over the first 11 weeks. His total could be higher, if his finishing was a bit more polished.. The West Ham game stands out in my mind.
However, the Mexican forward is owned by just 8% of FPL managers, including 10.3% of the top 1000 managers. While Wolves fixtures aren’t as good as they were a few weeks back, it appears they can play with anyone at this level. In fact, I do favor them scoring in the next 6 fixtures, which includes games away to Arsenal and home to Chelsea. If you need to bank some money, he’s a great option with as free scoring as Wolves are.
Chelsea. Morata in one word. No. Next up, Eden Hazard, who missed game week 10 and came off the bench in game week 11, just 26 minutes and he provided an assist. Hazard has been moved out by over 25k managers as they are home to EVE, away to Spurs and home to Fulham. Obviously, many managers targeting Fulham with Hazard as a captain.
Is Pedro back in our thoughts? He was hot to start the season scoring 3 goals in 4 games. He missed 2 weeks due to injury and over the last 4 weeks has eased back up to 90 minutes. Last week a goal and assist.
More importantly we’ve seen Willian and Pedro playing together, with Willian out on the left flank, Pedro on the right. That could also be due to the fact Hazard hasn’t been 100%.
I feel stronger about picking up Pedro at 6.3 than I do about Barkley. At 5.9, his world crashed down last week with no return. That said, Hazard, is still the player I covet if I decide to go in on an attacking asset.
(20:18) Watchlist, Transfer, Captain of the Week & GW11 Review
I’ve begun to fill my watchlist recently as I am seeing more value out of players I think can make a difference. We all have or should have a list of some sort from which to draw.
Ahead of game week 12 I have a TV of 102.9, which is about 0.6 off the top 1000 average. I haven’t been chasings those 0.1 increases for weeks now, thus rolling FTs
Defensively, I am looking at Virgil van Dijk and Matt Doherty. I might have been talked out of VVD last night by FPL Tornado after we swapped strategies and he opened my eyes to a few options I didn’t consider.
Doherty, has been impressive to date and would be an upgrade to Ryan Bennett. After my anticipated free transfers this week I would 1.1 million ITB to possibly upgrade Doherty out of the break.
The midfield has options at all price points; Mane at 9.8, Martial at 7.5, Gudmundsson at 6.0 and Deulofeu at 5.4.
I was all set to bring Martial in this week for Moura but have held off making that move until later in the week. Much like Barkley, he feels like chasing points, but returns in 4 games, I don’t think you can wait much longer, as he’s risen in price the last 3 weeks.
Gudmundsson continues to get things done at Burnley. Last week popped for his second goal and is the creator in that offense. At 6.0 he’s represent good value for his price. The only drawback 3 tough games in a 4-week period, home to Liverpool, away to Spurs and Arsenal.
Finally, Deulofeu. He’s looked excitable in his 3 starts at Watford since returning from injury. While he was a bundle of frustration last week missing two big chances, I do think we will see more of him up front, in a forward position, partnering with the likes of Success, Gray and possibly Deeney. Great price, IF he can start returning with more consistency.
Up front, if the decision is made to drop Aguero and I don’t add another cheaper premium option, the Jimenez is my target. That’s 5.5 ITB to upgrade the midfield. The options are endless, but I don’t want to be hiding behind the couch every weekend waiting for Aguero to go off. FOMO would be alive and well on the weekends.
As for my transfers this week, I was looking at bolstering my defense, doubling up on Liverpool, adding van Dijk to partner with Andrew Robertson. Ryan Bennett would make way, as would Milner, giving me 6.4 ITB. Replacing Milner, Gudmundsson at 6.0, giving my 0.4 ITB.
After a lengthy discussion there is a bigger upside in the short term of bringing Mane into my starting XI and doubling up in the midfield. If I drop Moura for Mane, I’m left with 5.6.
While I am not fond of adding those 4.5 midfielders, it could be the right move, since there are no intentions to play them on a regular basis. Regardless of that 4.5 player, I’d be left with 1.1 ITB and would look at upgrade Bennett out of the international break.
Lots to consider over the next few days before lineups are locked.
Captain pick failed me last week, as I moved off the home captain and gave the armband to Salah away to Arsenal. We know how that ended. Poorly.
Aguero captainers made out much better and many of those managers ended up going green this week. Only option this week is Salah, home to Fulham, who can’t stop anyone. This could be another “boom” week as Salah could post a huge return.
For those waning a punt or not owning Salah, I also like Arnautovic away at Huddersfield.
As for last week I got frustrated Sunday and turned the TV off after Ings hit for the PK. Figuring nothing good would come from the remaining games, I tried to ignore Twitter and my FPL team.
While it didn’t last long, I did end the week on 62 points, which is above my 60/PPW goal. It was also 10 points better better than the average, but still resulted in a 6k red arrow.
A tough red pill to swallow, as the Salah/Aguero captain selection was the difference. On the season, I am still pleased with my progress, as I hodl steady at 169k, record just my 4th red arrow on the season.
While defense has keyed my weekly final points, it was the forwards who excelled last week, recording 32 points with Wilson, Arnautovic and Aguero.
Milner was a pleasant surprise picking up a goal and 10-points. Defensively, it was only Alonso returning points with an assist.
The City clean sheet that was wiped out was a killer, as that was a 7-point swing. No CS from Liverpool or Chelsea, but that’s the chance you taken when you go big at the back. Only hope at that point, an attacking return.
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That’s it for episode 15, thanks for listening. Gameweek 11 was a real struggle because of a single decision. Looking ahead to this week, I like where I am sitting and like the options as they present them. Looking to get back on track with a nice green arrow.
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You can follow me on Twitter @6thGoal providing FPL opinions, as well as craft beer content, posted using the hashtag 30SecondBeerReview.
Look for the Watford review of GW11, report card and GW12 preview at PlanetFPL.com.
Look for the Southampton vs Watford review on 90 minutes at a time Sunday after the game.
For all my weekly FPL content head over to 6thgoal.com, as I always have something to say.
Time to climb out from behind the couch and prepare for game week 12.
Thanks for listening.