Think Different: GW1 Retrospect

This Think Different series began a few years back when I was a contributor to Fantasy Football Geek and initially focused on the viability of playing five defenders. While that strategy didn’t last long, the series did last a few seasons, before discontinuing submissions to FFG. This year, I’ve decided to revive the series on 6thGoal.com, posting the first of six articles on August 18, Think Different: An FPL Tale Part I. This series was conceived to follow my second team from pre-season planning and strategy, over 38 game weeks to see how a set and forget 5-man defense can get on in a very attack minded FPL game. Hopefully the first game week isn’t an indication of how things are going to go, but I am confident this team will rebound and finish the season with a respectable OR. More importantly, I am curious to see what I learn from this exercise. Continue reading “Think Different: GW1 Retrospect”

Think Different: An FPL Tale Part V

Fancy numbers and key metrics looks great on paper, but as we know, the game is played on a grassy pitch. Preparation and knowledge of players and teams is key in putting out a starting XI that will be successful, there is still a pinch of luck involved when it comes to play the FPL game. This year preparation will take into account last year and how players performed in a broken season, coupled with their season ending statistics and some key metrics, including VAPM. None of this guarantees I will post a good season, but it should be an indication of players who will perform at or above the the level to achieve my total points goals. Continue reading “Think Different: An FPL Tale Part V”

Think Different: An FPL Tale Part IV

This is the fourth article in the Think Different series, where I discuss key metrics. Take away from these articles what you want, if anything. Like many metrics, this is useful information, depending on how you use the data. I believe metrics can help FPL managers when combined with other data sets and performance based statistics, when we examine players under consideration for the upcoming Premier League season. While I stand by the metric, if you don’t find interest in the results, do find one that helps you make your starting XI or transfer decisions as we roll over the 38-week season. Continue reading “Think Different: An FPL Tale Part IV”

Think Different: An FPL Tale Part III

Interest in the FPL game continues to grow year after year. The 2019/20 season saw over 8 million managers participate and it wouldn’t be a stretch to think that number will increase this season. We also anticipate some players potentially being listed under new positions, however, Trent Alexander-Arnold isn’t a midfielder. Ahead of every new season is the speculation of price increases. Last season, it was the ¬£12.5 opening price for Mo Salah and his defensive teammates at ¬£7.0. Price plays into all our decisions when it comes to fantasy and there are key metrics that can break down the price based on performance to see if those players are “good value” or overpriced when selecting your team. Continue reading “Think Different: An FPL Tale Part III”

Think Different: An FPL Tale Part II

Part two of this series will discuss a key metric I found a few years back, but until now I really haven’t used it during the season. In fact, I didn’t use it last year when building my squad ahead of the first game week. Like many metrics, you can take away from these numbers what you want. It’s not the end all, be all. Like many metrics used in FPL, there are some shortcomings, but I do like what it does provide when it comes to players who got it done all season long. In fact, it might hold a bit more value when looking at a 3-5 game run a potential replacement player. Just depends on how plugged into the FPL game you want to be. However, the more time you dedicate to the game doesn’t mean you will finish any better. Continue reading “Think Different: An FPL Tale Part II”

Think Different: An FPL Tale Part I

Each year FPL managers attempt to dissect their season and draw conclusions. If like me, you find yourself continuously questioning transfers, activation of chips and strategy as the year ticked on. The 2019-2020 Premier League season caused an upheaval in the FPL game, seeing the game go cold for nearly three months. As I have said, I lost nearly all interest in the game when the Premier League said it would push forward in a mad dash to finish the season. Continue reading “Think Different: An FPL Tale Part I”

VAPM – Viable Transfers?

The last two years I’ve dug deeper into some key metrics to help with player decisions. This is one of many different metrics to us when when contemplating players of interest. This year, I’ve paid more attention to deficiencies in past seasons. It doesn’t come as a surprise that my midfielders are excelling when it comes to their point totals in relation to their price and minutes played. It’s a plethora of acronyms; PP90, PPM, PPMM and VAPM, as managers look for keys in the numbers to unlock their season. Continue reading “VAPM – Viable Transfers?”

Success in the Statistics

One question I continue to circle back to after posting  my best finish in FPL of 31k, how do I start the season stronger? Seems a simple question to answer at the end of the season, looking over all the top scoring players, but why were some of them not considered at the start of the season? Is there more preparation required or possibly a better way to look at new season and the prospects it holds?
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FPL Key Metrics

I’ll admit it, I am not a whiz with numbers, but I enjoying using them when it comes to FPL to indicate value for player potential. There are a wide range of metrics that fantasy managers use when examining data as it relates to price, points, minutes and matches. Last season, xG (expected goals) and xA (expected assists) appeared to become mainstream when looking at potential attacking returns. xG represents “the number of goals that can be expected to be scored based on where and how a shot was taken.
Continue reading “FPL Key Metrics”